Brexit: Majority of the public now back End Say referendum amid chaos in Westminster, poll shows


Most of the British public has again had a referendum on Brejit in Final Say, whatever the result, an exclusive search for The Independent found.

Amid the chaos in parliament, support for a new public vote, which boiled just under 50% for months, finally became a majority in April, according to a BMG Research poll.

Key players from both major parties signaled a referendum could be the way forward, including Chancellor Philip Hammond and Under Secretary of Foreign Affairs Emily Thornberry.

But despite the clear desire for a vote to break the Brexit deadlock and redefine British politics, the poll showed once again a deeply divided country.

The survey revealed that Britain does not have a clear favorite for what the referendum should do – with different groups who do not want any compromise, the proposal of Remain and Ms May as options.

And when it came to a Brexit agreement, most people believed that it would be unacceptable if it did not allow the UK to make free trade agreements and get rid of the decisions of the European Court of Justice – in contrast to the options adopted by parliamentarians in Westminster . .

A survey of a weighted sample of more than 1,500 people in early April asked: "Would you support the British public having the final vote on Brexit regardless of the outcome of the negotiations – whether an agreement is reached or not?"

About 52 percent of people supported a new vote, 29 percent "strongly" and 23 percent "a little", while only 24 percent opposed, to some extent, another referendum. The remaining 24 percent said: "I do not know."

The latest survey follows two major marches on March 23 and October 20 by central London, sponsored by The Independent & # 39;s Final Say Campaign, which saw hundreds of thousands of demonstrators gather in the capital.

Hammond was applauded, but he also revolted with fellow Conservative ministers last week after suggesting that a new vote would be a "perfectly credible proposal."

Jeremy Corbyn is resisting the pressure to fully support a referendum, whatever the outcome of Brexit, with his team saying a labor-backed agreement would not need one.

But the challenge behind a new poll was also undressed by the poll, when the same group was asked what the vote ballot should be: May or no agreement (27% support); Stay or May agreement (32 percent); and no business or remain (26 percent). Another 16% did not know.

Parliament has voted twice on different alternatives to Mrs May's Brexit agreement and twice has been unable to support anything with the majority of Members – although the options that put the UK in a customs union and / or the single market have a high score

But according to the new poll, these options – even if most parliamentarians end up supporting them – may face the majority of the country's opposition.

Respondents were also shown three potential results and were asked whether they would be "acceptable or unacceptable" if delivered by the eventual Brexit agreement.

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A majority of 55% believe that an agreement would be unacceptable if it left the UK subject to the decisions of the European Court of Justice – something that would happen if Britain remained in the single market – while only 30% said that it would be acceptable. and 15 percent did not know

Another 50 percent said it would be unacceptable if any agreement left the United Kingdom unable to sign their own trade agreements – a consequence of remaining in a customs union – including 58 percent of Tory voters and 47 percent of Labor and Liberal Democrats. voters. Only 36% thought it would be acceptable for the UK to agree to an agreement that would prevent it from having an independent trade policy, while 14% did not know.

Overall, respondents were more willing to tolerate freedom of movement, which is ironic, considering that immigration was a key factor in the 2016 referendum.

Exactly half said that an agreement allowing continued free movement would be acceptable, while 35% said it would be unacceptable and 15% did not know.

This week Mrs May will renew her effort to try to find a majority for some House of Commons option before heading to Brussels later this week to look for another delay for Brexit.

Voting data in the survey showed conservatives at 35%, Labor at 34%, and Democrats at 11%.

Source: BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 1,514 GB adults online between April 2 and 5. The data is weighted. BMG is a member of the British Polling Council and complies with its rules.


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