This being the Irish team that we think Joe Schmidt is going to quote, it will not be the team that goes into the field against New Zealand next Saturday night. Schmidt and injury always throw a curved ball. The big decision is the blocking, where Iain Henderson, despite consistently acting to a worldwide standard, is defeated when Devin Toner's lineout and airstrikes on reboots become crucial against Brodie Retallick and Kieran Read (who pursues all kicks with kamikaze intention).
In addition, the form of Tadhg Beirne requires inclusion. Rob Kearney has to go back to his defensive excellence and positioning, but Jordan Larmour must hang on the 23 shirt for some X Factor off the bench. Despite an unquestionable ability to lead, Rory Best's place must be under serious review. Sean Cronin and Niall Scannell have yet to do enough to dislodge the 36-year-old striker, but the World Cup looks very far away.
If in form, Garry Ringrose returns out of center while Robbie Henshaw's injury makes Bundee Aki the sensible choice. Dan Leavy receives the recognition of Josh van der Flier because he is better and for his open clinic against Argentina.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Keith Earls, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Jacob Stockdale; Johnny Sexton, Luke McGrath; Cian Healy, Rory Best (captain), Tadhg Furlong; Devin Toner, James Ryan; Peter O'Mahony, Dan Leavy, CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Tadhg Beirne, Josh van der Flier, Kieran Marmion, Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour.
Injury colors are chosen this week. If Garry Ringrose and Rob Kearney are fit, they will play. Nobody knows the exact fitness status with Kieran Marmion also limping at Aviva Stadium. The All Blacks will increase your game. Ireland needs players who are consistent and can sustain the high pace of play that New Zealand prefers, without breaking or taking a false step. For this, Schmidt reverts to trusted activists and has the right to do so. But he also needs the form of last Saturday's game.
Devin Toner made an impact. So did Dan Leavy. Bundee Aki played well. The wings struggled to enter the game, since Ireland was very close. Will Addison came from not being on the game day squad to start his first game and looked the part, growing into the game. Johnny Sexton can play better. The pack was strong, especially James Ryan, but Rory Best was not at the top of his international game. Tadhg Beirne's conversation seems premature. Schmidt can not bring down his padlocks, Toner, Ryan, Henderson, as they all delivered on demand.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Keith Earls, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Jacob Stockdale; Kieran Marmion, Johnny Sexton; Cian Healy, Rory Best, Tadhg Furlong, James Ryan, Ian Henderson, Peter O & # 39; Mahony, Josh van der Flier and CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Devin Toner, Dan Leavy, Luke McGrath, Joey Carberry, Will Addison.
Events, dear boy, events like Harold Macmillan once posed for a journalist when asked what can more easily derail a government. And the events conspired to possibly alter, or at least clarify, three or four Joe Schmidt selections for next Saturday.
That Sean O'Brian and Robbie Henshaw have joined Conor Murray behind the scenes means Dan Leavy, Bundee Aki and Kieran Marmion should start. Leavy and Aki are two of the best companies in Ireland and Marmion did well against the Pumas. Luke McGrath has stepped up the pace, but in many ways a substitute must always do that.
If fitting in again, Garry Ringrose had to come back anyway, as his distribution, outer range and defensive reading add more balance to the Irish attack.
As everyone has seen, the value of Devin Toner (both in the Irish as well as in the opposition and restarts) has been improved in his absence in the first hour against the Pumas, and the starting ball is the oxygen of this Irish team.
Similarly, aerial duels were extremely significant in both the Aviva and Twickenham, and the presence of Rob Kearney would restore composure, albeit with less threat of game break. But the footwork, rhythm and versatility of Jordan Larmour make it the best fit in "23".
There would be an argument for Tadhg Beirne on the bench, though Henderson is much more familiar with the systems, and Josh van der Flier always delivers.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Keith Earls, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Jacob Stockdale; Johnny Sexton, Kieran Marmion; Cian Healy, Rory Best (captain), Tadhg Furlong, James Ryan, Devin Toner, Peter O 'Mahony, Dan Leavy, CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Iain Henderson, Josh van der Flier, Lucas McGrath, Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour.
John O & Sullivan
The injuries of Robbie Henshaw, Sean O Brien and Conor Murray clarify the selection process, while it is assumed that Rob Kearney and Garry Ringrose are compatible. Kearney's prowess in the air, positional play, and experience in such a contest will be important, while Ringrose's appreciation for role 13 in attack and defense, along with his innate ability, will add value, particularly in attack.
Kieran Marmion was excellent this past weekend, fast for the rucks and smartly covering, but Luke McGrath's physical presence in defense, lines of support and ability to snipe in the fringes makes a more persuasive argument to start him when collisions are more violent. Marmion, as he has done in the past, can provide his team with a slightly different kind of game coming off the bench.
Ireland relies heavily on their feats to attack and Devin Toner will be an essential figure in this regard. New Zealand was brimming with the fragility of England. Dan Leavy was excellent last week as a substitute while on the bench, this really depends on the game plan of Ireland. Ballero could see both Iain Henderson and Tadhg Beirne included; a more fluid approach enact that Josh van der Flier or Rhys Ruddock make the substitutions.
Ireland: R Kearney; K Earls, G Ringrose, B Aki, J Stockdale; J Sexton, L. McGrath; C Healy, R Best, T Furlong; D Toner, J Ryan; P O'Mahony, D Leavy, CJ Stander.
Substitutions: J McGrath, S Cronin, A Porter, I Henderson, T Beirne, K Marmion, J Carbery, J Larmour.
"Learning helplessness" is a concept I'm going to visit on Friday, but that influences team selection on Thursday. How relentless the "relentless pursuit of excellence" influences Joe Schmidt's team selection continues to be seen. How complacent the Irish selection for the rusty nature of last Saturday's game is also important. But the selection relies on psychology, culture and leadership and everything must be balanced.
The lineout requires three elements – personal, management and execution, and with that in mind Devin Toner should begin. Not because he is the best in the air (Peter O & # 39; Mahony wins this award), but because he is the best lineout manager in managing an extremely complex and pressurized environment and especially the style of Rory's throwing trajectory Best. A lot of time has passed the simple lineup options BIG, RED, HAT, where the opposition is now always ahead of their ideas; so the scandalous regular lineout of O'Mahony steals. Our prostitute will need management and a deeper lineout arc to beat them.
If the toner starts, the better it will be. But if Toner starts too, Niall Scannell and his performances so far have been worthy of inclusion, assuming that the scandalous role of Sean Cronin's impact continues. With the versatility in the initial backround, I would definitely have both Tadhg Beirne and Ian Henderson on the bench.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Jacob Stockdale, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Keith Earls; Johnny Sexton, Kieran Marmion; Cian Healy, Rory Best, Tadhg Furlong; James Ryan, Devin Toner; Peter O'Mahony, Dan Leavy, CJ Stander.
Substitutions: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Ian Henderson, Tadhg Beirne, Lucas McGrath, Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour.