Comparing Kompas R & D "Rapid Count" results with KPU since 2007



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JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com – Presidential candidate number 02 Prabowo Subianto rejects the results of the fast count ( quick count) a number of institutions won the number of the pair 01 Joko Widodo-Ma & # 39; ruf Amin.

In fact, Prabowo said that research institutions deliberately carried opinions.

"I emphasize here to the Indonesian people that there are efforts by certain research institutions that we know have worked to get one party to lead opinions as if we have been defeated," he told Kertanegara House on Wednesday (04/04 / 2019) in the afternoon.

Prabowo urged his supporters not to be affected by the results of the quick count and remained focused on keeping the vote count.

Read also: Jokowi-Maruf wins the 2019 presidential election version of 9 countries quick count

The General President of the Gerindra Party admitted that his internal team had made manual or real count.

The result, he said, won with 62% of the vote. According to him, the results real count obtained from the count in 320,000 polling stations.

"And I have been persuaded by statisticians that this is not going to change a lot, it can go up 1%, it could fall 1%, but today we are at 62%," he said.

So how accurate are the results of the quick count by a number of research institutions?

Kompas R & D is one of the fastest-scoring institutions in this 2019 presidential election.

Read also: Kompas R & D: Old voters become the key to Jokowi-Maruf Amin's victory

As a result, with a 97 percent sample, Jokowi-Ma & r; ruf was higher with 54.52 percent while Prabowo-Sandi was 45.48 percent.

This result is not much different from the fast count of eight other institutions.

To test the accuracy of the quick count, she has yet to wait for the official General Election Commission (KPU) recapitulation to be announced on May 22, 2019.

However, Kompas R & D is not just doing a quick count this time. This institution has started to participate in the fast count of elections since 2007.

The overall results are still below margin of error and relatively close to the final results of the KPU recap.

Read also: Comparison of 2019 electoral political parties with 2014, fast count of Compass R & D data 87 percent

Results quick count For the Round II DKI Pilkada on April 19, 2017, for example, the average deviation was only 0.04 percent compared to the results of the KPU.

At that time, the results quick count Kompas, the pair of Basuki Tjahaja Purnama-Djarot Saiful Hidayat received 42 percent and the couple Anies Baswedan-Sandiaga Uno received 58 percent.

While the final results of the KPU, Basuki-Djarot received 42.04 percent and Anies-Sandi 57.96 percent.

Kompas Research and Development, in turn, conducted a rapid count in simultaneous regional elections for the Governor of West Java, Central Java and East Java in 2018.

The following is the infographic about the achievements of Kompas R & D work over the last 12 years:

KOMPAS.com/PALUPI ANNISA AULIANI
Comparison of Compass and Development Quick Search Results Quick Count and Calculation Results of KPU 2007-2018

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