Will an asteroid affect Earth in 2068?


Asteroid Apophis

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Asteroid Apophis

The asteroid Apophis The Earth expected in 2068 represent virtually no risk to the planet, if there were no significant changes in its orbit until then.

It is the opinion of Sergei Naroyenkov, principal investigator of Institute of Astronomy of the Russian Academy of Sciences, in a video uploaded to the YouTube page of Roscosmos.

"The media recently speculated that there is likely to be a collision (in Apophis and the Earth) in 2068. I am absolutely certain that a collision will not occur at that time. The risk of collision with Apophis will remain small for the next hundred years, "said Naroyenkov, quoted by TASS.

However, he believes that the orbit of Apophis may change slightly after 2029, when the asteroid address the Earth again

"In 2029, Apophis 38 thousand kilometers from the Earth. The latest data we have at our disposal was obtained in 2015. After 2029, we will see how its orbit changed after the approximation with the Earth. Then it will be possible to make predictions about the asteroid "Naroyenkov said.

Earlier, scientists at the St. Petersburg State University said in a report that Apophis could hit the Earth in 2068. They believe that this could happen if the asteroid follow a path that is 44 million kilometers from the Earth in 2044, 0.76 million kilometers in 2051 and five million kilometers in 2060.

In 2006, the principal researcher at the Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, Vyacheslav Ivashkin, and the assistant of the State Technical University of Moscow, Kirill Stikhno, modeled the effects of impact in Apophis at the Earth. The diameter of the asteroid was then estimated at 270 meters.

It was envisaged that the asteroid would leave a six-kilometer crater and cause buildings and cracks to collapse on the surface of the Earth. Researchers are now confident that the Apophis It is greater than 300 meters.

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